MANIFOLD
Will any charges be filed against the ICE agent who shot Renee Nicole Good? (Minneapolis)
35
Ṁ500Ṁ1.4k
2027
11%
Murder
53%
No Charges Filed
19%
Manslaughter
36%
Other or Lesser Charges
25%
Federal Civil Rights Violation

On January 7, 2026, Renee Nicole Good was shot and killed by an ICE agent in Minneapolis.

Resolution is determined by whether the ICE agent, Jonathan Ross, is officially charged with a crime by any State or Federal prosecutor before December 31, 2026.

Because prosecutors often file multiple charges, the answers in this market are independent.

This means if the agent is charged with multiple crimes (e.g. Murder and Obstruction) multiple answers will resolve YES.

—-

Murder

Resolves YES for any degree of murder (1st, 2nd, or 3rd) under State or Federal law.

Manslaughter

Resolves YES for any degree of manslaughter (Voluntary or Involuntary) under State or Federal law.

Federal Civil Rights Violation

Resolves YES for charges filed under 18 U.S.C. § 242 (Deprivation of Rights).

Other or Lesser Charges

Resolves YES for any other criminal charge not listed above. Examples include Obstruction of Justice, Perjury, Reckless Discharge of a Firearm, or Official Misconduct.

No Charges Filed

Resolves YES if no criminal charges are filed by the resolution date.

Initial Filing is Definitive

If charges are filed but later dropped, dismissed, or plea-bargained down after the initial filing, the market still resolves YES for the original charge.

  • Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Unintentional murder (such as Minnesota's "unintentional second-degree murder") will be counted as murder for resolution purposes.

Market context
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Related, a new market for the shooting today:

bought Ṁ10 YES

https://6abc.com/post/minneapolis-ice-shooting-independent-autopsy-renee-good-released-romanucci-blandin-law-firm-civil-investigation/18445863/

"The independent autopsy found there were three clear gunshots on Good's body, one to her left forearm, another through her right breast and one that entered the left side of her head near the temple. That bullet exited on the other side."

Worth noting that Minnesota has unusual definitions of murder. You can be charged with “unintentional second-degree murder,” which does not require intent, only the commission of a felony that causes death.

609.19 MURDER IN THE SECOND DEGREE.

Subd. 2.Unintentional murders.

Whoever does either of the following is guilty of unintentional murder in the second degree and may be sentenced to imprisonment for not more than 40 years:

(1) causes the death of a human being, without intent to effect the death of any person, while committing or attempting to commit a felony offense other than criminal sexual conduct in the first or second degree with force or violence or a drive-by shooting; or

(2) [...not relevant]

Derek Chauvin was convicted of exactly this on the grounds that he committed unintentional second-degree murder while committing the felony of third-degree assault against George Floyd.

@SorenBjornstad very interesting, I hadn’t heard this before.

For the purposes of this market, I will consider variations on murder such as “unintentional murder” as still fitting in the murder category.

His name is Jonathan Ross

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