Resolution criteria

Super Bowl LX will take place on February 8, 2026, at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California. This market resolves YES if ICE agents engage in violent activities during the Super Bowl event or related festivities in the Bay Area on or around February 8, 2026. Violent activities include but are not limited to: use of force resulting in injury, firing weapons, physical altercations, or deployment of riot control measures (tear gas, pepper spray, etc.) by ICE personnel.

Resolution will be based on credible reporting from established news outlets, video documentation, official statements from DHS or law enforcement, or court filings documenting such incidents. The market resolves NO if no such violent incidents occur by end of day February 8, 2026.

Background

The Department of Homeland Security confirmed that ICE agents will conduct enforcement at Super Bowl LX in Santa Clara, California, on Feb. 8. ICE has previously conducted operations at the Super Bowl, cracking down on sellers of counterfeit merchandise, investigating possible cases of forced labor and stopping drug trafficking operations.

Recent context is relevant: Two U.S. citizens were shot and killed by ICE officers in Minneapolis, with a total of 3,000 ICE and Customs and Border Protection agents now operating in the city. A federal judge blocked DHS agents from arresting or using pepper spray and nonlethal munitions on peaceful protesters in Minnesota, after a lawsuit alleged federal agents "violently subdued" demonstrations against immigration enforcement.

Considerations

Rapid response networks and legal advocacy groups in Santa Clara have already begun mobilizing to provide resources for attendees who may be affected by federal enforcement activities during Super Bowl weekend. The heightened tensions stem from the NFL's announcement of Bad Bunny as the halftime performer, which prompted concerns given that Bad Bunny notably did not include stops in the continental U.S. for his tour because of fears ICE would show up at his concerts.

This description was generated by AI.

• Update 2026-01-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that CBP (Customs and Border Protection) will be considered the same entity as ICE for resolution purposes. Violent activities by either ICE or CBP agents will count toward a YES resolution.

• Update 2026-01-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market now includes both ICE and CBP (Customs and Border Protection) in the resolution criteria. Violent activities by either agency will count toward a YES resolution.