Is Iran a forever war? | Manifold

Is Iran a forever war?

19

Ṁ100Ṁ693

2027

13%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES at the end of 2027 if the US military involvement in Iran is significant and in a steady state by then.

Market context

Israel-Iran Conflict

Iranian Politics

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

I guess forever here means "end of 2027".

@AlanTennant Dude it's 2026, watching a 3 minute video feels like forever

Attacking so many different surrounding countries at random, somehow in response to their issues with Israel and the USA, none of it is helping.

People are also trading

How many weeks will the US–Iran war last?

Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026

+4% 1d7% chance

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

-18% 1d22% chance

Will the United States lose the war against Iran?

+14% 1d64% chance

How many days in a row will the Iranian war strikes last?

When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent)

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

When will Iran-US conflict end?

Will Iran have a civil war before the start of 2028?

Will the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office?

Related questions

How many weeks will the US–Iran war last?

Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Will the United States lose the war against Iran?

How many days in a row will the Iranian war strikes last?

When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent)

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

When will Iran-US conflict end?

Will Iran have a civil war before the start of 2028?

Will the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy