When will Iran-US conflict end? | Manifold

When will Iran-US conflict end?

24

Ṁ175Ṁ1.4k

2027

December 29, 2026

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

0.9%

2026 Q1

1.3%

2026 Q2

26%

2026 Q3-Q4

34%

2027 Q1-Q2

16%

2027 Q3-Q4

22%

2028+

The conflict will be considered ended when most news media report it as being over. No formal peace treaty or ceasefire is required.

Israel-Iran Conflict

Iranian Politics

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What counts as "end"? Does there need to be a formal peace treaty or ceasefire, or is a de facto end enough?

@EvanDaniel when most news media report it as being over

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