When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent)
21
Ṁ655Ṁ2.4k2031
26%
2027
25%
2028
25%
2029
21%
2026
Each of these options resolves either: at the end of the year as NO, or YES if the US is at war with Iran at any point during the year.
I won't bet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent)
Civil War in Iran in 2026?
21% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
12% chance
US ground invasion of Iran before the end of 2026?
16% chance
[Metaculus] If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, wil...l Tehran within one year?
37% chance
When will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030?
People are also trading
Related questions
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent)
Civil War in Iran in 2026?
21% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
12% chance
US ground invasion of Iran before the end of 2026?
16% chance
[Metaculus] If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, wil...l Tehran within one year?
37% chance
When will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030?