When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent)
25
Ṁ655Ṁ3.1k2031
99%
2026
40%
2027
25%
2028
21%
2029
Each of these options resolves either: at the end of the year as NO, or YES if the US is at war with Iran at any point during the year.
I won't bet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
55% chance
Will the US-Iran war end before the 2026 midterm elections?
34% chance
Will the US and Iran sign a formal end-of-war agreement by August 31, 2026?
12% chance
Is Iran a forever war?
20% chance
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent)
When will Iran-US conflict end?
11/23/26
Will the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office?
14% chance
Will the U.S. or Israel be at war with Iran at any point during the year in which global peak oil is reached?
Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?
12% chance
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
55% chance
Will the US-Iran war end before the 2026 midterm elections?
34% chance
Will the US and Iran sign a formal end-of-war agreement by August 31, 2026?
12% chance
Is Iran a forever war?
20% chance
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent)
When will Iran-US conflict end?
11/23/26
Will the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office?
14% chance
Will the U.S. or Israel be at war with Iran at any point during the year in which global peak oil is reached?
Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?
12% chance