Between two weeks and two months after the end of the current conflict, I will create a poll reading as follows:
"In your view, did the United States of America lose its war with Iran? You may define terms as you wish, but two clarifications are important:
Iran does not have to have won in order for America to have lost, although Iran's victory or lack thereof may be a factor in consideration.
Even if the war was ill conceived or foolish, it is possible to win it, and even if a war is wise or sensible it is possible to lose it. In other words "did America win" is a separate question to "do you think America was right to go to war".
If there is serious argument about whether the war is ended, I will clarify that by poll .
Because this question will be resolved by poll, I am going to trade in this market.
1,000Title edit: "Will my Manifold poll say the US won the war vs Iran"
US is more precise than "America". A Manifold poll is not a good judge of who won the war.
And you don't win wars. Leaders, elites and corporations can win a war, but generally everyone else on both sides suffers a great deal for short-term gains that are over-run by long term losses (see what happened after WW I or WW II - both "wins" led to tens of millions of deaths).
@YourFriend 3 of your last 4 comments are "title edit requests", can you stop?
Did you know you can create your own markets rather than being a pedant regarding everyone else's?