MANIFOLD
Will Charlie Kirk’s assassin be officially termed a foreign asset?
36
Ṁ1kṀ51k
resolved Nov 21
Resolved
NO

Trump and the administration determine/announce/whatever that the assassin was a foreign actor and NOT

  • democrat

  • Mentally ill

  • Etc

Market context
Crime
Charlie Kirk
Assassinations
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Candace Owen claiming they were a French legion multi-state assassin. lol

@Gen ill take you up for quite a bit at 7%

opened a Ṁ2,000 YES at 10% order

@Gen more at lower rate

Related: /Gen/will-charlie-kirks-murder-used-as-p

opened a Ṁ10,000 YES at 30% order

@Gen I will let someone else resolve if it becomes uncertain. The spirit of the market is who gets blamed in the end by the admin, fwiw.

People are also trading

What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination?
Another politically motivated* assassination of a notable* English-speaking influencer within a year of Charlie Kirk's?
-5% 1d25% chance
Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty?
33% chance
Will Charlie Kirk’s murder be used as pretense for troops at polling booths in 2026, 2028?
22% chance
What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
What political positions did Charlie Kirk's shooter support?
Will either a state or the US government name something after Charlie Kirk by EOY 2026?
81% chance
Will multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death?
13% chance
Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?
3% chance
Which method(s) will the police use to find Charlie Kirk's shooter?
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