Feel free to add your own, but egregiously irrelevant answers will be N/Aed. Try to keep it to things that can be connected to this event! I'll avoid betting in this market on anything where there could be ambiguity.
Update 2025-09-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the answer "At least 10 people deported because of anti-Charlie Kirk comments": the requirement that deportations be forcible is removed; any deportation qualifies.
Update 2025-09-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the answer "Federal bill named in tribute to Charlie Kirk is signed into law": only a federal (national) bill qualifies; state bills do not.
Update 2025-09-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the answer "Another political assassination (either side)": the later assassination must be provably inspired or influenced by the Charlie Kirk assassination, with such proof available by the market close date (2026-09-11).
1,000People are also trading
@digory 'Prominent social media account (100k+ followers) banned due to any commentary on the situation'
@digory I'm fairly confident this would already resolve yes, though I'd have to check who's been suspended on bluesky
for reference:
@digory Would it be alright if I change this to "1+ person injured/killed by attacker claiming retaliation for Kirk's death" purely to make it succinct?
@Marnix it should also resolve true if the attacker is the one hurt, or if anyone else is hurt in the incident
@Marnix what does "forcibly" mean? Under what circumstances would a deportation not be forcible for the purposes of this market?
@Marnix this will eventually happen, and the assassin will be in some probably important way influenced by this and the conversation around it. What's the bar for "as a result of"
