Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)
7
Ṁ1kṀ902Nov 3
47%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves 0% at <= 45 seats, 100% at >= 55 seats, linear in between. (10% per seat above 45.) Counting independents based on who they intend to caucus with.
House version: /EvanDaniel/democratic-house-seats-after-2026-2
Full range: /Ziddletwix/gop-share-of-senate-seats-after-202
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
32% chance
Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
6% chance
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Democratic odds of senate control on Tuesday November 3 2026?
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
32% chance
Will Democrats win 53 seats or more in the 2026 Senate elections?
39% chance
Democratic House seats after 2026 election? (200-250, linear)
63% chance
How many House seats will the GOP lose in 2026?
GOP share of senate seats after 2026 midterms? (Resolves to %)
48% chance