Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)
5
Ṁ1kṀ637Nov 3
47%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves 0% at <= 45 seats, 100% at >= 55 seats, linear in between. (10% per seat above 45.) Counting independents based on who they intend to caucus with.
House version: /EvanDaniel/democratic-house-seats-after-2026-2
Full range: /Ziddletwix/gop-share-of-senate-seats-after-202
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
12% chance
How many House seats will the GOP lose in 2026?
Democratic House seats after 2026 election? (200-250, linear)
55% chance
How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
25% chance
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
50% chance
Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
GOP share of senate seats after 2026 midterms? (Resolves to %)
48% chance
How many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
15% chance