Democratic House seats after 2026 election? (200-250, linear)
6
Ṁ1kṀ505Nov 2
59%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to 0% at <= 200 seats, 100% at >= 250 seats, linear in between. (2% per seat beyond 200.) Counting independents based on who they intend to caucus with.
Senate version: /EvanDaniel/republican-senate-seats-after-2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
90% chance
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
49% chance
Which Nevada U.S. House Seats will Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?
Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections?
How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
29% chance
Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)
51% chance
How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
41% chance
How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
How many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
15% chance
How many House seats do the Democrats flip in 2026?