When will OpenAI release Sora 2?
10
1kṀ2428
2026
15%
Before October 2025
40%
Before November 2025
65%
Before December 2025
72%
Before January 2026
76%
Before February 2026
80%
Before March 2026
87%
Before April 2026

Sora 2 refers to a video generation AI model generally expected to be called Sora 2. It would be the next major iteration of the Sora series of model by OpenAI.


To count as released, the model must be accessible to some people outside OpenAI, and be officially announced. If it's banned in some country, this market would still resolve YES. If it is available through some API only this also counts as a release. If it's available to some users on an official OpenAI website, this is also sufficient.

See also:

/Bayesian/when-will-google-release-gemini-3

/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grok-5

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt6

/Bayesian/when-will-anthropic-release-claude-qZd5QEQ225

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4

/Bayesian/when-will-meta-release-llama-5-6h9UypqOdp

/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-a-browser

/Bayesian/when-will-tesla-launch-unsupervised

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-their-next

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-sora-2 (this market)

/Bayesian/when-will-thinking-machines-announc

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