When will DeepSeek release V4?
29
1kṀ5765
2026
36%
Before August 2025
56%
Before September 2025
70%
Before October 2025
76%
Before November 2025
82%
Before December 2025

Minor changes to the name, such as using "V5" instead of "V4", are acceptable when determining the release.

To count as released, the model must be accessible to some people outside DeepSeek. if it's banned in the US but releases in China this market would still resolve YES. If it is available through some API only this counts as a release.

See also:

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-announce-o4

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt45-ULpyUuqd2L

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-an-open-so

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4 (this market)

/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grok-4

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