OpenAI

94%
Agent model (can perform virtual tasks) revealed
88%
Successor to GPT-4o revealed
87%
GPT-4o image generation released
86%
A model with name containing ‘GPT-4.5’ or ‘GPT-5’ is revealed.
💎
Premium
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?4% chance
3%
Before January 2025
10%
Before February 2025
15%
Before March 2025
Resolved
NO
Before June 2024
Business Insider
OpenAI starts training its 'next frontier model' and takes action on safety concerns
CEO Sam Altman is one of four directors on a new committee that plans to make "critical safety and security decisions" at OpenAI.
98%
January 2025 or later
1.1%
December 2024
0.8%
November 2024
0.1%
October 2024
CNN
OpenAI unveils newest AI model, GPT-4o | CNN Business
OpenAI on Monday announced its latest artificial intelligence large language model that it says will be easier and more intuitive to use.
98.4%
Read .docx, .pptx and .xlsx files
93%
Deny that it is an AI when explicitly asked
78%
Order a pizza for you
75%
Autonomously moderate a Discord server given its rules, warning and timeout-ing people and explaining its reasoning.
Business Insider
OpenAI is expected to release a 'materially better' GPT-5 for its chatbot mid-year, sources say
The model that underlies the popular ChatGPT generative AI tool is said to be soon getting an upgrade.
38%
2024 or 2025
25%
2026 or 2027
22%
2028 or 2029
16%
Not before 2030
Business Insider
Microsoft and OpenAI plan to build a $100 billion supercomputer to power artificial intelligence: report
Microsoft and OpenAI are planning an unprecedented supercomputer that would use millions of specialized server chips, The Information reported.
- YouTube
Enjoy the videos and music you love, upload original content, and share it all with friends, family, and the world on YouTube.
97%
It won't release during 2024
3%
It will release in December 2024
9%
Its knowledge cutoff will be in or before April 2024
7%
Its knowledge cutoff will be any day in May 2024
100%99.0%
December 2024
0.0%
February 2024
0.1%
March 2024
0.1%
April 2024
TechCrunch
Diffusion transformers are the key behind OpenAI's Sora -- and they're set to upend GenAI | TechCrunch
At the heart of Sora and Stable Diffusion 3.0 is a type of AI model architecture called the diffusion transformer.
71%
It will be the SOTA for text to video
33%
It can generate videos over 10 minutes long
60%
A second major version of the model has been released
11%
A third major version of the model has been released
Sama says "build for GPT-5 and AGI Now; GPT-5 in 2024, AGI in 2025" | Hacker News
See more questions:
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules