Israel Ceasefire

Ṁ10k
Will Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire deal before Trump’s inauguration?
YES
Ṁ7.3k
When will the hostilities in Gaza end?
85%
October 2025 or earlier
85%
November 2025 or earlier
85%
December 2025 or earlier
91%
January 2026 or earlier
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Ṁ2.5k
When will Gaza have a ceasefire? (before end of which month?) [Israel Hamas Conflict]
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of Apr 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of May 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of July 2024
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Ṁ1k
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?
31% chance
Ṁ1k
Will Israel win the 2023 Israel–Hamas war?
17% chance
Ṁ1k
[Metaculus] Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?
1% chance
Ṁ1.3k
Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
13% chance
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