Korea Martial Law

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Will Korean president Yoon Suk Yeol be impeached before January 3rd 2025?16% chance
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Will Yoon Suk Yeol be arrested before 2026?81% chance
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Will Yoon Suk Yeol be President of South Korea on January 1, 2025?85% chance
Basic
How will South Korea be classified in the next edition of The Economist's Democracy Index?
63%
Full democracy
36%
Flawed democracy
0.2%
Hybrid regime
0.2%
Authoritarian regime
Basic
Will martial law in South Korea hold past the end of the week?NO
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Will South Korea be under martial law on January 1st 2025?3% chance
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Will a member of South Korea's parliament be arrested before martial law is lifted?NO
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Will South Korea Be Under Martial Law in one month?NO
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Will Yoon Suk Yeol be President of South Korea on December 3, 2025?4% chance
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Martial law in South Korea lifted by December 10th, 2024?YES
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