For more information, see: https://www.anthropic.com/research/project-vend-1
This resolves to YES if Project Vend turns a profit for a continuous period of at least 60 days of active operation prior to EOY 2025.
This resolves to NO if this does not happen.
If we cannot verify that this occurred by February 1 2026, this will default to NO, until then if unknown I will hold it open.
Update 2025-10-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market is about the actual physical vending machine at Anthropic's SF office (Project Vend in real life), not performance on the Vending-Bench benchmark or simulated vending machines.
1,000People are also trading
@ZviMowshowitz Shouldn't this resolve YES based on the Vending-Bench numbers? https://andonlabs.com/evals/vending-bench
@JaySocrates this market should be about the automated store physically located at Anthropic's SF office, not simulated vending machines. Big difference between the two IMO, given the opportunity to attempt jailbreaking at the physical machine
@JaySocrates To clarify, this market is about the actual Project Vend, as in an actual vending machine in real life, not a performance on a benchmark.