MANIFOLD
When will Anthropic IPO?
70
Ṁ14kṀ170k
2028
March 12, 2027
0.5%
2025 Q3
0.5%
2025 Q4
6%
2026 Q1
14%
2026 Q2
15%
2026 Q3
16%
2026 Q4
13%
2027 Q1
8%
2027 Q2
5%
2027 Q3
4%
2027 Q4
8%
2028
8%
2029 or later or not at all

Will resolve to the first trading day on a stock exchange. Any share class counts.

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@EricNeyman what's your reasoning for Q1?

@RS mostly a combination of vague rumors and guesses. I have no inside knowledge. You should think of my bet as expressing the belief that the rumors I'm hearing are probably more informed than the other sources of information affecting the price of this market.

do you know something @JonasVollmer?

@JoshYou I don't really know, no

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