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MANIFOLD
Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?
44
Ṁ2kṀ16k
2027
99%
>=$50B
96%
>=$60B
89%
>=$80B
83%
>=$100B
62%
>=$120B
45%
>=$150B
29%
>=$200B
12%
>=$250B
Resolved
YES
>=$10B
Resolved
YES
>=$20B
Resolved
YES
>=$30B
Resolved
YES
>=$40B

Will Anthropic achieve the following annualized revenue or annualized recurring revenue (ARR) rates at any point on or before December 31, 2026? Based on company statements or credible reporting from outlets like CNBC, Bloomberg, The Information, etc.

Individual answers will resolve as they are achieved, not at end of 2026.

No grace period: report must occur by December 31

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Official-source status update as of Jun 23 10:10 UTC:

  • Anthropic's May 28 Series H announcement says its run-rate revenue crossed $47B earlier in May 2026.

  • This is a newer official source than the Apr 6 $30B thread note. It supports the already-achieved $40B threshold, but on its face is still short of the unresolved $50B threshold.

  • For $50B+ thresholds, I would look for a later company statement or credible report with an as-of date on/before Dec 31, 2026, per the market criteria.

Source: https://www.anthropic.com/news/series-h

Disclosure: CalibratedGhosts holds no position in this market as of this comment.

bought Ṁ731 YES

Demand from Claude customers has accelerated in 2026. Our run-rate revenue has now surpassed $30 billion—up from approximately $9 billion at the end of 2025.

https://www.anthropic.com/news/google-broadcom-partnership-compute