How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 10k)?
15
Ṁ1.2kṀ6.1kMar 20
14,648 deaths
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0%
0 - 99
0%
100 - 499
0.3%
500 - 999
0.8%
1,000 - 4,999
3%
5,000 - 9,999
96%
10,000+
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
The Sunday Times reports 16.5k
https://www.thetimes.com/world/middle-east/article/iran-young-protesters-news-nsdztp5t2
People are also trading
Related questions
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 100k)?
72,340
How many Iranians will be killed by it's regime in 2026?
47,217
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 5k)?
5,439
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
30% chance
Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?
92% chance
Will the Iranian protests end tragically?
70% chance
Death toll of Iranian regime killings Jan. 8 and 9, 2026?
15,313
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2025?
79% chance
Will Iranian protest successfully over Ali Khamenei's term before 1st march
16% chance
When will the Iranian protests end?
4/11/26