MANIFOLD
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 100k)?
15
Ṁ300Ṁ2.8k
Mar 20
85,548 deaths
expected
0.8%
Below 10,000
3%
10,000 - 19,999
2%
20,000 - 29,999
12%
30,000 - 39,999
11%
40,000 - 49,999
10%
50,000 - 59,999
9%
60,000 - 69,999
6%
70,000 - 79,999
7%
80,000 - 89,999
10%
90,000 - 100,000
29%
Above 100,000

Resolution criteria

It is certainly not cheerful to be continuously recreating this market with higher and higher buckets.

Resolves by the same standards as this market but with different buckets.

Market context
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