Will at least 10 people die from Iranian strikes on Israel before 2025?
Plus
24
Ṁ5376Dec 31
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Strikes on Israelis outside of Israel doesn't count. For the purpose of this question, Israel's borders are defined by the internationally recognized border plus the Golan Heights.
Strikes by Iranian proxies (such as Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthies) doesn't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will at least 100 Israelis or Palestinians be killed by Iranian missiles before 2025?
10% chance
Will a state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
3% chance
Will a state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 10,000 deaths before 2025?
3% chance
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
5% chance
Will more than 5000 people die in a conflict between Israel and Hezbollah/Lebanon during 2024?
20% chance
Conditional on a war between Israel and Hezbollah/Lebanon, how many will die on the Hezbollah/Lebanese side before 2025?
if >10 people die in Israel as a result from Iran's missile strikes will there be a formal war between Iran and Israel
19% chance
How many people will be killed as a result of the Israel-Hezbollah conflict in 2024?
Israel-Hezbollah conflict killing >400 before 2024? And US and Iran at war before 2025?
Will Israeli strikes kill any Irish peacekeepers in Lebanon by the end of 2025?
19% chance