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Will the ICE deployment in Minnesota be substantially reduced by June 1, 2026?
22
Ṁ1kṀ4.3k
May 31
85%
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There are currently, per news reports, somewhere between 2000 and 3000 ICE agents deployed to Minnesota as part of "Operation Metro Surge", which has been ongoing since early December. If on June 1, 2026, the best estimate available from mainstream news sources of the number of ICE agents still actively deployed in the state is less than 500, this question resolves YES. Otherwise it resolves NO.

  • Update 2026-01-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The count will include CBP and other related agencies in addition to ICE agents when determining if the deployment has been substantially reduced below 500.

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Are you intending to only count ICE, or CBP and other related agencies as well?

@EvanDaniel The latter

@NicholasWeininger Thanks! Do you have a complete list of agencies that are counted? Anything beyond CBP, like the rest of DHS, or the National Guard?

Less than 500 would not be able to safely operate

@Waterfalls Why not? Doesn't the police force in the city have less than 600 officers?

@BodeyBaker at least one issue is me quoting city numbers and the question is for the state, but I'm still confused why that number wouldn't be able to safely operate

@BodeyBaker does police is kidnapping innocent people against the huge local organized disapproval?

@BodeyBaker 60 ICE agents were not able to arrest suspects in Somalian shopping mall the last week.

Were heavily outnumbered by locals

@Waterfalls I'm pretty skeptical of that.

  • Do you really think this level of outrage gets sustained for months?

  • If anything, reducing numbers seems like it'd be likely to calm the protests down.

  • If there are 3,000 ICE agents, and the government backs down by dropping it to, say, 400, are Minnesotans going to start violently attacking the remaining ones, giving the government an excuse to send more agents back?

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