@MukeshHaval what does this mean? it's just your name lmao

@TheAllMemeingEye https://youtu.be/WzRduCCz2tU?si=bPPug5xU-3_yRqTP

@JessicaEvans In most programming languages a statement that depends on a single variable with no intermediary operation simply executes if the variable is a non empty non zero value. Since the market resolutions are true/false and Mukesh probably has a non empty value it should resolve true for semantic reasons.

@JessicaEvans I will be appalled if Manifold applies such deleterious typing discipline. This should require an explicit cast at the least.

@d4hines this is textbook N/A lol

Anyone want to do a large bet on the power plant option? I’d place a big bet around 55% on YES.

@bens I believe his threat is a bluff. That's why I've been buying NO.

@GuyCohen 1k at 55 for the next hour

@bens I wouldn't do 55 but I'll do 60 if you want

Do the markets resolve based on what happens by March 29 or by March 24 (the end of the ultimatum) ?

@Lilemont Mine specified theirs in the answer. For those who didn't specify, I guess default to market close unless it would very clearly require more time from a common-sense read?

@GuyCohen can you clarify if something happening that isn't a power plant counts? For example, if the U.S. bombs an oil field and says "this is retaliation for the strait"?

see, free money because of prob > 1, lol

Okay but what are the odds their grid gets hit vs totally taken out?

@GuyCohen when will this resolve?

@Jack1 Market close

Can you add some options on Iranian relatlatory attacks.

@GuyCohen Sorry, I think I accidentally set it so I add more options

@MingCat if you press the 3 dots in the top right, press see info, and change one of the settings down the bottom you’ll be able to add more options

@Jack1 Should be possible now, maybe?

I feel like this needs a "neither" option (I know you can simulate one by betting no on both, but still)

Fun market y’all, bet now