Will a canal be created in the Strait of Hormuz using nuclear weapons?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ1.6k2027
0.6%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As per Newt Gingrich's recent tweet
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will US take control of Strait of Hormuz before April 1st?
22% chance
Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026
76% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
11% chance
Who will control the Strait of Hormuz on December 1, 2026?
Will there be a food shortage related to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz?
56% chance
Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?
35% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
11% chance
Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran nuke Israel?
27% chance
Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
9% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
13% chance