
Which Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next?
30
1kṀ77812030
5%
John Roberts
37%
Clarence Thomas
36%
Samuel Alito
13%
Sonia Sotomayor
1%
Elena Kagan
2%
Neil Gorsuch
3%
Brett Kavanaugh
0.7%
Amy Coney Barrett
2%
Ketanji Brown Jackson
Resolves when any Supreme Court Justice retires or dies while serving.
Update 2025-22-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Any Justice leaving the Court will resolve this as YES.
Expanding the size of the Court has no impact on a Justice leaving it.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?
Who will be the next justice confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2025?
Will a Supreme Court Justice retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
42% chance
Who will be the next justice confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?
Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
92% chance
What will cause the next Supreme Court vacancy?