Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?
60
1.3kṀ65502030
38%
Clarence Thomas
14%
Sonya Sotomayor
0.5%
Amy Coney Barrett
1.1%
Elena Kagan
2%
Brett Kavanaugh
5%
John Roberts
37%
Samuel Alito
1.2%
Neil Gorsuch
1.5%
Ketanji Brown Jackson
Resolves based on which seat is first to become open due to the resignation or death of a current justice.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2025?
Who will be the next justice confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Will a Supreme Court Justice retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
42% chance
Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
92% chance
What will cause the next Supreme Court vacancy?
Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
80% chance
Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027?
52% chance
When will the next justice be confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice?
Will a 10th Judge be Appointed to the US Supreme Court by 2026?
3% chance