Will any Senate Democrat lose a primary in 2026?
4
Ṁ261Ṁ522Dec 31
19%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if a senate democrat loses a US senate primary in 2026.
To lose, they must appear on the ballot and lose the primary vote.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
87% chance
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
50% chance
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
Will Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections?
87% chance
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
39% chance
Will any incumbent U.S. Senator lose renomination in the 2026 US senate primaries?
93% chance
How many House Democrats will lose a primary challenge in 2026?
Will Democrats regain control of the Senate in 2026?
51% chance
Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ?
84% chance