Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election

Ṁ100Ṁ2.9k

Dec 30

62%

chance

ALL

Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES if Democrats win a majority of the 100 Senate seats following elections in 2026. The Democrats would need 51 seats to control the chamber.

If seat >= 51
resolve as YES

If seat < 51
resolve as NO

If the election is cancelled
resolve as NO

If the election is not held during 2026 (election day in 2027 or later)
resolve as NO

If the Democratic Party changes its name before election day
resolve as NO

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Resolution criteria

If seat >= 51resolve as YESIf seat < 51resolve as NOIf the election is cancelledresolve as NOIf the election is not held during 2026 (election day in 2027 or later)resolve as NO

If the Democratic Party changes its name before election dayresolve as NO

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Related questions

If seat >= 51
resolve as YES

If seat < 51
resolve as NO

If the election is cancelled
resolve as NO

If the election is not held during 2026 (election day in 2027 or later)
resolve as NO

If the Democratic Party changes its name before election day
resolve as NO