Each option provisionally resolves once both the New York Times and Decision Desk HQ (or, if those become defunct, other reliable sources) call the race and do not retract the call for 24 hours. Final resolution will be according to certified results.
Whether a candidate is "a Democrat" is determined by the party affiliation displayed on the ballot (being a Dem as one party on a fusion ticket counts.)
1,000This market is excellent and extremely useful to have. I made a companion for the non-competitive seats:
@cherrvak If you wanna put up some NO orders, I'll take the YES side of a 50/50 on Texas 28, Arizona 1, and Arizona 6
@Robincvgr oh I was just squinting at maps on the internet while clicking buttons basically at random. I have no idea what's going on in those districts, I just guessed on whether the maps had the corresponding section colored in redder or bluer