Will Republicans win a Majority of Toss up Senate seats in 2026? [Sabato's Crystal Ball]
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Ṁ1kṀ386Nov 3
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Resolves yes if Republicans win a majority of the seats listed in the "Toss up" column on election day. If tie, settle 50:50. (The last available projection with toss ups will be used if no toss ups on election day)
https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2026-senate/
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Reason: Late-October polls show Democratic leads in several of Sabato's five Toss-up seats, and Republicans need three of the five to resolve YES.
Other traders should consider: Those leads are often within the margin of error, and Inside Elections has shifted several of these races, so ratings may keep moving. Recounts or certification delays could also change winners after resolution.
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