How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
4
Ṁ1kṀ1.5kNov 3
30%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves PROB to the number of House seats won by the Democratic Party that they didn't win in 2024. >= 100 flips resolves to 100%. Counting independents by who they intend to caucus with.
See also:
/EvanDaniel/how-many-house-seats-will-flip-in-2
/EvanDaniel/how-many-house-seats-will-the-repub
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ?
88% chance
How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
41% chance
How many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
19% chance
Democratic House seats after 2026 election? (200-250, linear)
54% chance
How many House seats do the Democrats flip in 2026?
Will the Democrats Outperform their 2018 Midterm Results? [Win more than 235 seats in 2026]
26% chance
How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026?
How many house seats will Democrats flip before the 2026 midterms?
Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections?
67% chance