When will Trump die?
55
αΉ1kαΉ11k2047
91%
After 2026 (80)
87%
After 2027 (81)
81%
After 2028 (82)
60%
After 2030 (84)
5%
After 2036 (90)
3%
After 2041 (95)
2%
After 2046 (100)
Resolved
YESAfter 2025 (79)
The numbers in brackets are the age Trump will be at the end of that year.
The options resolve after he has survived that entire year (Eastern Standard Time)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
20% chance
Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
34% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
17% chance
On which days in 2026 will Donald Trump be alive?
Will Donald Trump die during his term?
16% chance
What will be Trump's cause of death?
Will Trump die within 1 year after leaving office?
12% chance
Will Trump die in prison?
4% chance
How will Donald Trump die? (Before age 100)
Will Trump die of cancer?
13% chance