Will Trump get impeached by the House and Senate before the end of his 2nd term? | Manifold

Will Trump get impeached by the House and Senate before the end of his 2nd term?

27

Ṁ100Ṁ637

2029

12%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Update 2025-03-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Key Resolution Update:
- A 'Yes' outcome requires that, in addition to a House impeachment vote, the Senate reaches a two-thirds majority vote during the impeachment trial.

Update 2026-10-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * If Donald Trump dies or retires before being impeached, the market will resolve No (and will not resolve to N/A).

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You will not N/A this if he leaves office by another route, right?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen if he dies this resolves no since he cant be impeached
if he retires it also resolves no

This means the two-third Senate majority is reached?

filled a Ṁ5 YES at 43% order

House and senate — does this mean he has to be indicted, too?

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