How will trump’s second term end?
57
325Ṁ40552029
54%
He declines to run a third time and steps down
18%
He will die in office
10%
He runs in and loses the next election and steps down
5%
He will be impeached and removed from office by the Senate
4%
He will be legally removed via non-impeachment or election means (e.g. the 25th, a new amendment, etc.)
2%
2%
He resigns before the end of his term
1.9%
Trump seeks a third term via a position in the presidential succession, and it fails
1.7%
Trump seeks a third term via a position in the presidential succession, and it works
This question is intended to be comprehensive for all possible ways trump’s second term could end.
Update 2025-04-28 (PST): - If Trump is impeached and then resigns before or during the Senate trial, the market will be resolved as resigns. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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