MANIFOLD
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2027?
21
Ṁ1kṀ7k
2028
98%
chance
Market context
Technology
Space
SpaceX
Science
Rockets
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2026?
98% chance
Will any company or space agency other than SpaceX successfully use reusable rocket launch system by 2027?
98% chance
Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2026?
Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
93% chance
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
20% chance
When will a non-SpaceX propulsively landed orbital booster be reflown for the first time?
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?
14% chance
Will China successfully propulsively land a rocket first stage before 2027?
83% chance
Sort by:

Low bar for successful I see. 💥

reposted

bump

bought Ṁ30 YES

My bet is on Rocket Lab, Electron

https://www.rocketlabusa.com/updates/rocket-lab-returns-previously-flown-electron-to-production-line-in-preparation-for-first-reflight/

@Mqrius Or even Neutron

People are also trading

Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2026?
98% chance
Will any company or space agency other than SpaceX successfully use reusable rocket launch system by 2027?
98% chance
Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2026?
Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
93% chance
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
20% chance
When will a non-SpaceX propulsively landed orbital booster be reflown for the first time?
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?
14% chance
Will China successfully propulsively land a rocket first stage before 2027?
83% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy