
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2027?
21
Ṁ1kṀ7k2028
98%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The same booster module must have been confirmed to be launched twice
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX_reusable_launch_system_development_program
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2026?
96% chance
Will India launch a human into Earth orbit before the end of 2027?
21% chance
Will any company or space agency other than SpaceX successfully use reusable rocket launch system by 2027?
98% chance
Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
93% chance
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
20% chance
When will a non-SpaceX propulsively landed orbital booster be reflown for the first time?
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?
14% chance
Will China successfully propulsively land a rocket first stage before 2027?
83% chance
Sort by:
My bet is on Rocket Lab, Electron
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2026?
96% chance
Will India launch a human into Earth orbit before the end of 2027?
21% chance
Will any company or space agency other than SpaceX successfully use reusable rocket launch system by 2027?
98% chance
Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
93% chance
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
20% chance
When will a non-SpaceX propulsively landed orbital booster be reflown for the first time?
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?
14% chance
Will China successfully propulsively land a rocket first stage before 2027?
83% chance