In 2022, there were 178 successful orbital launches; SpaceX's Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy rockets accounted for 61 of them, or 34% of successful launches.

In 2023, Falcon rockets accounted for 96 out of 211, or 45%.

In 2024, it was 133 out of 255:/EvanDaniel/will-spacex-conduct-at-least-half-o

In 2025, it was 165 out of 317.

In 2026 so far, it is 72 out of 140.

Will SpaceX be responsible for over half of successful orbital launches in 2027?

This includes Falcon and Starship (and in theory other SpaceX rockets), and only counts successes. Resolution will be based on the Wikipedia counts as of ~ 2028-01-03, assuming they appear up to date and not in dispute. Resolution will be delayed if required.