⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2025? (10 DONE)
63
4.1kṀ18k
2026
91%
100th spacex launch of the year
88%
Sailing releases as a skill in Old School Runescape
87%
Trump fires / discharges / replaces a member of his cabinet
85%
Release date of Hollow Knight Silksong known
72%
Chat GPT 5 releases
71%
Earthquake magnitude 7.8 or higher somewhere in the world
64%
Coyote vs Acme release date is announced
50%
Skate 4 releases
50%
Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases
50%
Manifold announces they have raised more money through grant/investors/etc
50%
StubHub IPO finalized
47%
Skibidi Toilet ends their original series
39%
Lego releases a record breaking set with the most pieces (bigger than Lego Art World Map)
37%
Bitcoin BTC reaches $150K USD or more
31%
ukraine and russia announce a ceasefire
31%
Imu face reveal in One Piece
29%
New record breaking price for a Magic the Gathering card ($3M)
24%
Twitter releases a Peer to Peer payment system to free or premium users
20%
Tom Scott's 'this video hax X views' video reaches 80M views
19%
Taylor Swift announces engagement or marriage

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO. If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.

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