🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (1 DONE)

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2027

nioh 3 releases in the usa (game)

EOD Ides of March - Mar 15

artemis II mission launches

11%

EOD Fat Tuesday/Mardi Gras

14%

Spacex launches 25th rocket of the year

18%

the first Lunar eclipse of the year

24%

someone reaches 100k traders on the creator leaderboard

24%

Last day of the NFL draft

28%

llama 5 release date

28%

First Nintendo direct of the year

30%

grok 5 release date

31%

Spacex launches 50th rocket of the year

34%

EOD Cinco De Mayo - May 5

34%

trump removes a cabinet member

34%

Israel and Hamas announce another temporary ceasefire OR permanent ceasefire OR conflict otherwise ends

35%

the first Atlantic hurricane of the season

35%

the first Pacific hurricane of the season

36%

Taylor swift gets married

38%

Spacex launches 75th rocket of the year

41%

EOD Fourth of July - Jul 4

README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:

1st event: 1% (happens soonest)
2nd event: 2% (happens next)
...
100th event: 100% (happens latest)

Any events that do not happen by EOY will be resolved 100% YES.

Update 2025-11-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer "EOD Thanksgiving - Nov 28" should be Nov 27 (the correct date for Thanksgiving Day in 2025).

Update 2026-01-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "the first Solar eclipse of the year": annular eclipses do not count.

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@strutheo https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/
"On January 27, 2026, the Doomsday Clock was set at 85 seconds to midnight...".
So this should be 1%, unless there's something else.