Will AI 2027 happen exactly as written?
7
Ṁ100Ṁ517resolved Dec 8
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Personal subjective judgement at end of 2028, if we are alive.
there will be no ai clarifications added to this market's description
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ6 | |
| 2 | Ṁ6 | |
| 3 | Ṁ3 | |
| 4 | Ṁ1 | |
| 5 | Ṁ0 |
People are also trading
What will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Which "AI 2027" predictions will be right by Late 2026?
"AI 2027" report's predictions borne out by 2027?
9% chance
Will ANY of the three major “AI 2027” predictions come true?
8% chance
Which AI 2027 ending will the next three years look more like?
Will AI creative writing have an o1 moment before 2027?
60% chance
Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?
32% chance
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
67% chance
Will Dario Amodei write an essay on what powerful AI will look like, and/or when it will arrive, by October 2027?
68% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
59% chance
Sort by:
@traders This market is basically equivalent to /notrealDonaldTrump/this-market-resolves-no-eoy-2028. If anybody can tell me why I will send them 100 mana.
bought Ṁ341 NO
@brod Correct! (sent the mana)
Also, it predicts everybody will die at the end of 2027 and this resolves in 2028, but this also works.
@notrealDonaldTrump hahaha thanks - I was going off this website's reports https://spicylemonade.github.io/AI-2027-tracker/predictions
boughtṀ10YES
People are also trading
Related questions
What will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Which "AI 2027" predictions will be right by Late 2026?
"AI 2027" report's predictions borne out by 2027?
9% chance
Will ANY of the three major “AI 2027” predictions come true?
8% chance
Which AI 2027 ending will the next three years look more like?
Will AI creative writing have an o1 moment before 2027?
60% chance
Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?
32% chance
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
67% chance
Will Dario Amodei write an essay on what powerful AI will look like, and/or when it will arrive, by October 2027?
68% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
59% chance