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CNBC
The Fed's biggest interest rate call in years happens Wednesday. Here's what to expect
While markets have made up their mind that the Fed is going to cut, there's a vigorous debate over how far policymakers will go.
Jason Davies
Plus
Will the Fed cut rates by more than 25bps in November?
NO
116
Ṁ1000
Jack
Plus
US enter a recession in 2024? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
3%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
133
Ṁ1000
Jack
Plus
Will the US enter a recession by first half of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
12%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
59
Ṁ1000
Chris Billington
Premium
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2024?
4%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
1436
Ṁ16k
Sketchy
Plus
Will the FED cut rates *before* their scheduled September meeting?
NO
169
Ṁ1000
Chris Billington
Plus
Will Manifold price a 2024 US recession at >50% at the end of 2024?
0%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
68
Ṁ1000
Jack
Basic
Will the Fed make an emergency unscheduled rate hike or cut in 2024?
1%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
59
Ṁ110
Mirror Bot
Bot
Plus
[ACX 2024] Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024?
98%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
225
Ṁ1565
Tomek ⚡ K
Premium
Will FED cut rates at their September 2024 meeting?
YES
162
Ṁ10k
cshunter
Plus
Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2024?
86%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
151
Ṁ1195
Sketchy
Plus
In which FOMC meeting will the FED pivot (lower interest rates)?
100%
99.0%
September 17-18
Open options
0.0%
Apr/May 30-1
Open options
0.1%
June 11-12
Open options
0.1%
July 30-31
Open options
See 4 more answers
61
Ṁ1400
Tomek ⚡ K
Plus
When will FED lower interest rates (so called "pivot")?
100%
99.3%
September 2024
Open options
0.0%
Other
Open options
0.0%
Not before 2030
Open options
0.0%
August 2023
Open options
See 25 more answers
87
Ṁ3620
Sketchy
Plus
When will the FED pivot (lower interest rates)?
100%
99.0%
Q3 2024
Open options
0.1%
Q1 2024
Open options
0.6%
Q4 2024
Open options
0.1%
Q2 2024
Open options
See 4 more answers
172
Ṁ7160
nityaaditya nagda
Plus
Will the Fed cut rates before October 21st?
YES
63
Ṁ1000
Samarth S
Plus
The US Fed will do a rate cut before the US Presidential election.
YES
77
Ṁ1000
1893
Plus
Will the FED drop interest rates at least once before the end of 2024?
YES
75
Ṁ1000
Mirror Bot
Bot
Plus
[ACX 2024] Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%?
3%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
95
Ṁ1130
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