Which of these companies will outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?
17
1.3kแน€12k
Dec 31
65%
Micron Technology (MU)
65%
Lam Research (LRCX)
62%
Applied Materials (AMAT)
62%
UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
61%
Caterpillar (CAT)
61%
Goldman Sachs (GS)
59%
Morgan Stanley (MS)
59%
Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)
57%
Citigroup (C)
56%
Bank of America (BAC)
56%
Costco (COST)
56%
RTX Corporation (RTX)
56%
JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
56%
GE Aerospace (GE)
54%
Chevron (CVX)
54%
Visa (V)
54%
Home Depot (HD)
54%
Wells Fargo (WFC)
54%
Merck & Co. (MRK)
54%
American Express (AXP)

At EOY 2026, I will get S&P 500 YTD stock returns from yahoo finance. I will also get YTD company returns from the same source, (e.g.). I believe both are adjusted for splits and dividends. A market resolves YES if the company outperforms the S&P and NO otherwise. I have added the top 50 companies in the S&P as of 2025-12-29. I am not planning to add any additional companies.

Note that I have added 2000 M limit orders at 40% and 60% for all options on the market. These expire before the open on Jan 2 2026.


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@Bayesian You may be interested in the NVDA and GOOG/GOOGL markets here if you want to bet more on those or related AI stocks.

@mr_mino thanks. @traders i'll do 55% on goog for any takers

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