Will semiconductors outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?
9
Ṁ1kṀ1.2kDec 31
87%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves based on https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/semiconductors/ YTD
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
put up a week-long order for yes at 90% @Bayesian ?
also maybe a version of this market which resolves as 'no' if semiconductors underperform at any point, so I don't have to have my manas locked up for as long
People are also trading
Related questions
Will S&P 500 increase in 2026?
65% chance
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026?
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026?
Will TSLA outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?
37% chance
Will the S&P500 be greater than $8000 in 2026?
30% chance
Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?
57% chance
Which of these companies will outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?
S&P 500 up 100% in 2026?
1% chance
2026 U.S. Stock Market: How will the S&P500 performance in 2026?
Will the S&P 500 dip below 6000 in 2026?
27% chance