Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2025?
41
1kṀ72412026
8%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"invade" means US military attempts to seize territory in Iran.
By themselves, airstrikes, a no-fly zone, and naval engagements do not count. An operation in which US military personnel are physically in Iran, but whose aim is not to seize territory (e.g. covert/clandestine operation), would also not count.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
12% chance
US bombs Iran in July 2025?
5% chance
Will the U.S. launch a ground invasion against Iran in 2025?
7% chance
Will the U.S. strike Iran’s oil or gas infrastructure by August 31, 2025?
30% chance
Will there be a war between the US and Iran before January 2026?
8% chance
American troops in Iran before the end of 2025?
16% chance
US ground invasion of Iran before the end of 2026?
16% chance
US nukes Iran in 2025?
3% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025?
2% chance