US ground invasion of Iran before the end of 2026?
20
Ṁ100Ṁ1.3kDec 31
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Using only special forces doesn‘t count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
64% chance
What will happen relating to Iran before April 1, 2026?
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026
74% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
12% chance
100 US troop killed in action with Iran by April 2026?
14% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?
5% chance
🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term?
13% chance