How will Keir Starmer leave office?
28
Ṁ1kṀ3.9k2029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
37%
Loses general election
38%
Loses Labour leadership challenge
24%
Resigns
1.7%
Resolves to the means by which Keir Starmer loses power as the UK’s Prime Minister.
“Resigns” captures scenarios where Starmer voluntarily ceases to be PM without legal obligation, even if there is strong pressure (eg resignation following a non-binding no confidence vote or in the middle of a leadership challenge both count for “resigns”). It also includes resignation for personal reasons like health.
“Other” captures any scenario not listed, including death, incapacitation, criminal disqualification or expulsion by the monarch.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
How will Trump leave office?
Will Kristi Noem or Keir Starmer leave their current role first?
If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
42% chance
Will Keir Starmer's net favourability rating be higher at the end of 2025 than it was at the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
33% chance
When will Keir Starmer stop being leader of the Labour Party?
9/17/27
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
39% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031?
10% chance