Keir Starmer Resignation Month
23
Ṁ225Ṁ2.2k2028
0.2%
November 2025
0.2%
December 2025
0.3%
January 2026
25%
February 2026
10%
March 2026
10%
April 2026
11%
May 2026
8%
June 2026
36%
Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on when Starmer formally resigns to the King, regardless of the reason for leaving office. This includes scenarios such as:
Labour losing an election
Starmer losing a leadership challenge
Any other circumstance that results in him leaving Number 10
Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to N/A if Starmer dies while in office.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Keir Starmer announce his resignation in February 2026
23% chance
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
57% chance
Which Labour MP(s) will mount a leadership challenge against Keir Starmer? [Add Answers]
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?
Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
35% chance
Keir Starmer still UK prime minister by?
9/25/31
When will Keir Starmer stop being leader of the Labour Party?
2/22/27
Will Tim Walz or Keir Starmer leave their current role first?
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
Sort by:
@JoshuaWilkes the only thing that has now occurred to me is if Starmer would be able to resign if he lost his seat
@JoshuaWilkes https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/prime-minister-loses-seat-general-election
Seems quite clear that he would
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Keir Starmer announce his resignation in February 2026
23% chance
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
57% chance
Which Labour MP(s) will mount a leadership challenge against Keir Starmer? [Add Answers]
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?
Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
35% chance
Keir Starmer still UK prime minister by?
9/25/31
When will Keir Starmer stop being leader of the Labour Party?
2/22/27
Will Tim Walz or Keir Starmer leave their current role first?
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?