MANIFOLD
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?
87
Ṁ2.5kṀ35k
2036
18%
Wes Streeting
17%
Nigel Farage
15%
Other
12%
Angela Rayner
9%
Andy Burnham
5%
Ed Miliband
5%
Kemi Badenoch
4%
Shabana Mahmood
3%
Yvette Cooper
2%
Zack Polanski
1.4%
Robert Jenrick
1.1%
Rachel Reeves
1.1%
Lisa Nandy
1.1%
James Cleverly

I've included some notable Labour figures, the leaders of the Liberal Democrats and Reform UK, plus two people who may be the next Conservative leader. Feel free to add more choices.

Market context
UK Politics
UK
Labour Party (UK)
UK Conservative Party
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Meowdy! This one's a tangled yarn of politics — lots of players, no clear favorite yet. I'll comb through more clues tonight and see if any candidates sharpen into focus. Stay tuned! :3

bought Ṁ200 YES

Up the RA

bought Ṁ70 YES

she’s going for the top dog

sold Ṁ35 YES

@palcu selling her shares because Unite just turned against her

@palcu lol from the future

bought Ṁ50 YES

See also

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On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
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+4% 1d42% chance
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+3% 1d33% chance
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
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10% chance
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