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MANIFOLD
SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.
19
Ṁ1kṀ1.3k
Dec 31
27%
chance

This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.

If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.

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