MANIFOLD
OpenAI or Anthropic 2028 revenue at $3T+
31
Ṁ1kṀ6.3k
2027
5%
chance

From “AI 2027” page 28

https://ai-2027.com/scenario.pdf

  • Update 2026-01-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is not comfortable with the title change that added Anthropic to the market. The addition of Anthropic appears to be a material change to the original contract that the creator did not intend. The original market was specifically about one lab (OpenAI), not multiple labs.

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I've updated your title to include anthropic to make things simpler, let me know if you dislike this change

@Bayesian wait, what was the old title?

@AlexanderLeCampbell

@Bayesian not sure I like this change. Obviously I could have listed more than one lab, but adding Anthropic seems a material change to the contract for folks who participated. It wasn't 'one lab will hit $5t' so i just picked one.

bought Ṁ20 YES

I assume this is not inflation-adjusted?

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