This market is based on:
/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener

If the linked Scott Alexander market resolves NO, this market resolves to 'Nobody'.

If the linked market resolves YES, this market resolves based on which AI was used to trigger the resolution of the linked market.

I reserve the right to edit options in the interest of making this market as predictively useful as possible. For example, to avoid overlap, if 'OpenAI' and 'Sam Altman' were both options I would edit 'Sam Altman' to say 'The first AI dev organization founded by Sam Altman after he leaves OpenAI'. I will generally try to edit the most recently added option in such a scenario, and I will perform the edit as soon as the issue is brought to my attention. If an option is problematic but an appropriate edit is not apparent I will simply mark it as invalid.

Corner case - scramble to generate clause: If multiple AI enable the creation of movies at about the same time, and the resolution of this market comes down to a scramble regarding which AI is merely used first, this market will consider each AI in contention to be the enabler and resolve to each appropriate option evenly. HOWEVER, if an AI is used to make a high quality movie in such a way that people realize it can be done with earlier AIs as well, through the use of a special prompt or something like that, this market resolves only to the AI which was first used to demonstrate success. In other words, this clause allows for split resolution specifically in the case of a race to generate, not in the case of retroactive analysis of capabilities.